PropThink: Pozen Presents Impressive Phase 3 Data At ACG

PropThink: Pozen Presents Impressive Phase 3 Data At ACG

ID: 195429

(Thomson Reuters ONE) -


By Jason Napodano, CFA

On October 22, 2012, Pozen (NASDAQ:POZN) presented a full analysis of the
integrated results of its two Phase 3 studies comparing PA-325/40 (EC-ASA 325 mg
+ IR omeprazole 40 mg) to enteric-coated aspirin (EC-ASA) 325 mg in patients
requiring aspirin (ASA) for secondary cardiovascular prophylaxis who were at
risk for ASA-associated gastric ulceration. In the two Phase 3 trials, subjects
were randomized to either PA-325/40 or EC-ASA 325 mg, taken once daily in the
morning on an empty stomach, approximately 1 hour before breakfast. At baseline,
subjects were required to be H. pylori stool-antigen negative and have no
endoscopic ulcers. Subsequent endoscopies were performed at months 1, 3, and 6.
Both trials were run under a special protocol assessment (SPA) with the U.S.
Food and Drug Administration (FDA).

The primary endpoint of the study was cumulative proportion of subjects with
endoscopically-confirmed gastric ulceration (defined as a mucosal break of at
least 3 mm in diameter with depth) at any time throughout 6 months. Results
below show an impressive separation for PA-325/40 vs. EC-ASA:

The data equate to an impressive 63% reduction in gastric ulcers. We expected
the ASA cohort to offer a gastric ulcer rate around 10% and PA-325/40 to be low-
single digits. These results are consistent with our expectations and show the
powerful efficacy of Pozen's drug. When duodenal ulcers were included in the
analysis, the reduction increased to 71%. Data on new or worsening erosive
esophagitis showed an astonishing 87% reduction in favor of Pozen's PA-325/40
versus EC-ASA 325 mg. Discontinuation rates and treatment success at six months
also showed strong statistical significance in favor of Pozen's PA-325/40 versus
EC-ASA 325 mg. At six months, the observed incidence of discontinuations due to
pre-specified upper-gastrointestinal events was significantly lower with PA-




325/40 vs. EC-ASA 325 mg, 1.5% vs. 8.2%, (p<0.001). Treatment success at six
months was 95.2% for PA-325/40 vs. 83.2% for EC-ASA 325 mg, a 14% improvement in
outcome based on intent to treat (p<0.001).

Secondary analysis also show statistically significant reductions in the
presence of heartburn as reported on a standardized questionnaire at months
1, 3, and 6. A post-hoc esophageal mucosal assessment showed a meaningful and
statistically significant reduction in new esophageal erythema (2.7% vs. 7.6%,
p<0.001) and new esophageal erythema or new or worsening erosive esophagitis
(4.8% vs. 22.5%, p<0.001). Treatment-emergent adverse events, including GERD,
esophagitis, erosive esophagitis, or reflex esophagitis, was 6.1% for PA-325/40
versus 23.9% for EC-ASA 325 mg (p<0.001).

The data above was presented in poster form (Poster 608: "PA32540 [Enteric-
coated Aspirin 325 mg + Immediate-release Omeprazole 40 mg] Is Associated with
Significantly Fewer Gastric Ulcers and Significantly Less Endoscopic Erosive
Esophagitis than Enteric-coated Aspirin [EC-ASA] Alone: Results of Two Phase 3
Studies.") at the American College of Gastroenterology (ACG) meeting on October
22, 2012 in Las Vegas, NV. Pozen received two awards for its poster. The first
award was the ACG Auxiliary Award for $1,000 to the primary authors of the two
best papers presented at ACG2012. The $1,000 is hardly anything to get excited
about, but over 1,600 posters were presented at ACG this year. The fact that
Pozen's poster was considered one of the two best posters certainly says
something about the quality of the data and the excitement it generated from the
attendees.The second award was the prestigious Presidential Poster Award.
According to the ACG's website: "The ACG Educational Affairs Committee will
identify the most highly ranked abstracts selected for the poster sessions in
each category and acknowledge their achievement with the ACG Presidential Poster
Award. These recipients will receive a special commendation on their poster in
the Poster Hall, a certificate of achievement, and recognition in the meeting
program book." All posters are eligible for this award. Similar to the Auxiliary
Award, the fact that Pozen's poster of the phase 3 data was selected to win the
Presidential Poster Award certainly validates the quality of the data and the
efficacy of the drug. We think this type of data and recognition by the ACG
could help drive meaningful market share for PA-325/40 post-approval.

Quick Background

Pozen's PA-325/40 is a combination pill containing enteric-coated aspirin 325 mg
surrounded by a pH-sensitive film, surrounded by an immediate-release omeprazole
40 mg.



Pozen designed the drug for patients requiring daily aspirin for secondary
cardiovascular prophylaxis who are at risk for aspirin-associated gastric
ulceration. Low-dose aspirin (ASA) is recommended for the secondary prevention
of cardiovascular (source) and cerebrovascular (source) events. However, daily
aspirin therapy is associated with adverse gastrointestinal events, including
gastric ulceration and bleeding, as well as dyspepsia and GERD-like symptoms
(source) which may limit patient compliance and continued use (source). Proton-
pump inhibitors, like omeprazole, are recommended to reduce the risk of upper
gastrointestinal injury in patients at risk for potentially harmful events
associated with chronic daily aspirin use (source), including dyspepsia and GERD
(source).

The Phase 3 trial above was designed to evaluate whether PA-325/40 is associated
with fewer gastric ulcers and fewer upper gastrointestinal (UGI) symptoms
compared with EC-ASA 325 mg alone. A full presentation of the data can be
found here.

We expect Pozen to be in position to file the new drug application (NDA) for PA-
325/40 during the first half of 2013. We still believe that Pozen will be able
to secure a U.S. commercialization partner for the drug in the near future. An
upfront payment for PA could be in the area of $15 to $20 million, along with
over $150 million in back-end milestones and royalties on sales. A deal that
includes countries outside the U.S. presents upside (perhaps a doubling) to
these figures. As a point of reference, the Vimovo transaction with
AstraZeneca (NYSE:AZN) provided $40 million upfront, $45 million in approval
milestones, and $290 million in sales milestones plus roughly 10% royalties on
sales. Pulling in a deal of this magnitude has the potential to double the
stock.

Read this report in its original form by clicking here.

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Datum: 23.10.2012 - 17:25 Uhr
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