Canadian Oil Sands Announces Third Quarter Financial Results and a $0.35 Per Share Dividend
(firmenpresse) - CALGARY, ALBERTA -- (Marketwired) -- 10/30/13 -- Canadian Oil Sands Limited (TSX: COS)(OTCQX: COSWF)
All financial figures are unaudited and in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted.
Highlights for the three and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2013:
"We reached an important milestone with the completion of Syncrude's Aurora North Mine Train Relocation project ahead of schedule and under budget," said Marcel Coutu, President and Chief Executive Officer. "The remaining projects are also progressing well and tracking to plan. Healthy crude oil prices have facilitated funding of these major projects and our dividend while maintaining a very strong balance sheet, despite lower than expected production at Syncrude."
Mr. Coutu added: "It has been a particularly challenging year for Syncrude operations with maintenance issues in our extraction facilities and an extended coker turnaround in the third quarter. Syncrude is continuing to work through the implementation of reliability systems, and improving reliability remains ours and Syncrude's main focus."
Highlights
COS named for the third time to the Dow Jones Sustainability Index ("DJSI") North America
COS has been named to the Dow Jones Sustainability North America Index for the third year in a row. The Dow Jones Sustainability Index (DJSI) recognizes companies for leadership in corporate responsibility. Inclusion in the index is based on Syncrude's practices, policies and performance related to sustainability, as well as COS' own strong governance and community investment initiatives. More information about the selection criteria and detailed performance data is available at . Information on Syncrude's sustainability performance is available on their website and in their sustainability report at .
2013 Outlook revised
We have revised our key estimates and assumptions for 2013 as follows:
More information on the 2013 Outlook is provided in our MD&A and the October 30, 2013 guidance document, which is available on our web site at under "Investor Centre".
The 2013 Outlook contains forward-looking information and users are cautioned that the actual amounts may vary from the estimates disclosed. Please refer to the "Forward-Looking Information Advisory" in the MD&A section of this report for the risks and assumptions underlying this forward-looking information.
Management's Discussion and Analysis
The following Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") was prepared as of October 30, 2013 and should be read in conjunction with the unaudited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto of Canadian Oil Sands Limited (the "Corporation") for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and September 30, 2012, the audited consolidated financial statements and MD&A of the Corporation for the year ended December 31, 2012 and the Corporation's Annual Information Form ("AIF") dated February 21, 2013. Additional information on the Corporation, including its AIF, is available on SEDAR at or on the Corporation's website at . References to "Canadian Oil Sands", "COS" or "we" include the Corporation, its subsidiaries and partnerships. The financial results of Canadian Oil Sands have been prepared in accordance with Canadian Generally Accepted Accounting Principles ("GAAP") and are reported in Canadian dollars, unless otherwise noted.
Advisories
Forward Looking Information
In the interest of providing the Corporation's shareholders and potential investors with information regarding the Corporation, including management's assessment of the Corporation's future production and cost estimates, plans and operations, certain statements throughout this MD&A and the related press release contain "forward-looking information" under applicable securities law. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as "anticipate", "expect", "believe", "plan", "intend" or similar words suggesting future outcomes.
Forward-looking statements in this MD&A and the related press release include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to: the expectations regarding the 2013 annual Syncrude forecasted production range of 97 million barrels to 100 million barrels and the single-point Syncrude production estimate of 98 million barrels (36.0 million barrels net to the Corporation); the intention to maintain a quarterly dividend of $0.35 per Share in 2013 based on the assumptions in our 2013 Outlook; future dividends and any increase or decrease from current payment amounts; the establishment of future dividend levels with the intent of absorbing short-term market volatility over several quarters; the expected sales, operating expenses, Crown royalties, capital expenditures and cash flow from operations for 2013; the anticipated amount of current taxes in 2013; expectations regarding the Corporation's cash levels for 2013 and 2014; the expected price for crude oil and natural gas in 2013; the expected foreign exchange rates in 2013; the expected realized selling price, which includes the anticipated differential to West Texas Intermediate ("WTI") to be received in 2013 for the Corporation's product; the expectations regarding net debt; the anticipated impact of increases or decreases in oil prices, production, operating expenses, foreign exchange rates and natural gas prices on the Corporation's cash flow from operations; the belief that items that impacted the Corporation's financial results in the last eight quarters are reasonably likely to impact the Corporation's financial results in the future; the expected amount of total major project costs, anticipated target in-service dates and estimated completion percentages for the Mildred Lake mine train replacements, the Aurora North mine train relocations, the composite tails plant at the Aurora North mine and the centrifuge plant at the Mildred Lake mine; the cost estimates for 2013 to 2015 major project spending; and the expectation that the volatility in the Synthetic Crude Oil ("SCO") to WTI differential is likely to persist for several years until additional pipeline or other delivery capacity is available to deliver crude oil from Western Canada to Cushing, Oklahoma, the U.S. Gulf Coast or the Canadian East or West Coasts.
You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, as there can be no assurance that the plans, intentions or expectations upon which they are based will occur. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve numerous assumptions, known and unknown risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, that contribute to the possibility that the predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements will not occur. Although the Corporation believes that the expectations represented by such forward-looking statements are reasonable and reflect the current views of the Corporation with respect to future events, there can be no assurance that such assumptions and expectations will prove to be correct.
The factors or assumptions on which the forward-looking information is based include, but are not limited to: the assumptions outlined in the Corporation's guidance document as posted on the Corporation's website at as of October 30, 2013 and as subsequently amended or replaced from time to time, including without limitation, the assumptions as to production, operating expenses and oil prices; the successful and timely implementation of capital projects; Syncrude's major project spending plans; the ability to obtain regulatory and Syncrude joint venture owner approval; our ability to either generate sufficient cash flow from operations to meet our current and future obligations or obtain external sources of debt and equity capital; the continuation of assumed tax, royalty and regulatory regimes and the accuracy of the estimates of our reserves and resources volumes.
Some of the risks and other factors which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from current expectations expressed in the forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A and the related press release include, but are not limited to: the impacts of legislative or regulatory changes especially as such relate to royalties, taxation, the environment and tailings; the impact of technology on operations and processes and how new complex technology may not perform as expected; skilled labour shortages and the productivity achieved from labour in the Fort McMurray area; the supply and demand metrics for oil and natural gas; the impact that pipeline capacity and refinery demand have on prices for our product; the unanimous joint venture owner approval for major expansions and changes in product types; the variances of stock market activities generally; normal risks associated with litigation, general economic, business and market conditions; the impact of Syncrude being unable to meet the conditions of its approval for its tailings management plan under Directive 74; volatility of crude oil prices; volatility of the SCO to WTI price differential; unsuccessful or untimely implementation of capital or maintenance projects; various events that could disrupt operations, including fires, equipment failures and severe weather and such other risks and uncertainties described in the Corporation's AIF dated February 21, 2013 and in the reports and filings made with securities regulatory authorities from time to time by the Corporation which are available on the Corporation's profile on SEDAR at and on the Corporation's website at .
You are cautioned that the foregoing list of important factors is not exhaustive. Furthermore, the forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A and the related press release are made as of October 30, 2013, and unless required by law, the Corporation does not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of the included forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A and the related press release are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
Additional GAAP Financial Measures
In this MD&A and the related press release, we refer to additional GAAP financial measures that do not have any standardized meaning as prescribed by Canadian GAAP. Additional GAAP financial measures are line items, headings or subtotals in addition to those required under Canadian GAAP, and financial measures disclosed in the notes to the financial statements which are relevant to an understanding of the financial statements and are not presented elsewhere in the financial statements. These measures have been described and presented in order to provide shareholders and potential investors with additional measures for analyzing our ability to generate funds to finance our operations and information regarding our liquidity. Users are cautioned that additional GAAP financial measures presented by the Corporation may not be comparable with measures provided by other entities.
Additional GAAP financial measures include: cash flow from operations, cash flow from operations per Share, net debt, total net capitalization, total capitalization, net debt-to-total net capitalization and long-term debt-to-total capitalization.
Cash flow from operations is calculated as cash from operating activities before changes in non-cash working capital. Cash flow from operations per Share is calculated as cash flow from operations divided by the weighted-average number of Shares outstanding in the period. We believe cash flow from operations and cash flow from operations per Share, which are not impacted by fluctuations in non-cash working capital balances, are more indicative of operational performance than cash from operating activities. With the exception of current tax payable, liabilities for Crown royalties and the current portion of our asset retirement obligation, our non-cash working capital is liquid and typically settles within 30 days.
Cash flow from operations is reconciled to cash from operating activities as follows:
Net debt, total net capitalization, total capitalization, net debt-to-total net capitalization and long-term debt-to-total capitalization are used by the Corporation to manage capital, as discussed in the "Liquidity and Capital Resources" section of this MD&A and in Note 12 to the unaudited consolidated financial statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013.
Overview
Synthetic Crude Oil ("SCO") production from the Syncrude Joint Venture ("Syncrude") was lower than expected in the third quarter of 2013, primarily due to delays completing turnarounds on Coker 8-1, the LC Finer and two hydrotreating units. The turnarounds were completed and the respective units returned to operation in late August and early September. Syncrude third quarter production volumes totalled 20.9 million barrels, or 227,000 barrels per day, compared with 26.0 million barrels, or 282,600 barrels per day forecasted in our July 30, 2013 Outlook (included in the second quarter 2013 MD&A).
Cash flow from operations totalled $339 million in the third quarter, reflecting a U.S. $106 per barrel West Texas Intermediate ("WTI") oil price and a $2.51 per barrel SCO premium to WTI. COS realized a $113 per barrel average selling price, 20 per cent higher than the $94 per barrel annual forecast in the July 30, 2013 Outlook. Operating expenses in the 2013 third quarter were similar to the 2012 third quarter on a total dollar basis but, on a per-barrel basis, increased to $46.15 per barrel, reflecting lower 2013 volumes. Syncrude's major projects progressed as planned with $413 million of total capital spending (net to COS) in the quarter. We achieved another important milestone with the relocation and start-up of the second of two mine trains at the Aurora North mine earlier this month. The Aurora North Mine Train Relocation project is now complete, ahead of schedule and under budget.
Based on the results achieved in the first nine months of the year, we have updated our 2013 Outlook to reflect a higher $100 per barrel annual realized selling price, a lower Syncrude production range of 97 to 100 million barrels (with a single-point estimate of 98 million barrels). Cash flow from operations for 2013 is now estimated at $1,331 million, six per cent higher than our July 30, 2013 forecast.
Highlights
Review of Financial Results
Cash Flow from Operations
To see the graphs associated with this release, please select the following link: .
Cash flow from operations decreased to $339 million, or $0.70 per Share, in the third quarter of 2013 from $470 million, or $0.97 per Share, in the third quarter of 2012 primarily due to lower sales volumes and higher Crown royalties, partially offset by a higher realized selling price. On a year-to-date basis, cash flow from operations decreased to $957 million, or $1.97 per Share, in 2013 from $1,163 million, or $2.40 per Share, in 2012 reflecting higher current taxes, with lower sales volumes largely offsetting a higher realized selling price in 2013.
Syncrude production in the 2013 third quarter totalled 20.9 million barrels, or 227,000 barrels per day, a 27 per cent decrease from third quarter 2012 production of 28.8 million barrels, or 313,300 barrels per day. Production volumes in the third quarter of 2013 reflect the Coker 8-1, LC Finer and hydrotreating unit turnarounds, while third quarter 2012 production volumes reflect stable operations with no major maintenance activity. Net to the Corporation, sales volumes decreased to 7.8 million barrels, or 84,300 barrels per day, in the 2013 third quarter from 10.4 million barrels, or 113,300 barrels per day, in the 2012 third quarter.
On a year-to-date basis, Syncrude produced 69.2 million barrels, or 253,400 barrels per day, in 2013 compared with 77.4 million barrels, or 282,300 barrels per day in 2012. The decrease in 2013 production volumes reflects the delays completing the turnarounds as well as unplanned outages in extraction units. Net to the Corporation, sales volumes totalled 25.5 million barrels, or 93,300 barrels per day, in the first nine months of 2013 compared with 28.4 million barrels, or 103,700 barrels per day, in the comparative 2012 period.
Crown royalties increased to $71 million in the third quarter of 2013 from $33 million in the third quarter of 2012 primarily due to refinements in our estimates of bitumen values for both current and prior years, partially offset by higher deductible capital expenditures in the 2013 third quarter.
Current taxes increased in 2013 primarily because tax pools and the partnership structure sheltered the majority of 2012 income from current taxes.
The realized selling price averaged $112.55 per barrel and $102.83 per barrel in the third quarter and first nine months of 2013, respectively, compared with $89.89 per barrel and $92.59 per barrel in the comparative 2012 periods. The increase in 2013 realized selling prices reflects both a higher WTI oil price and an improvement in the SCO differential to WTI.
Net Income
Net income decreased to $246 million, or $0.51 per Share, in the third quarter of 2013 from $336 million, or $0.69 per Share, in the third quarter of 2012 reflecting lower sales volumes and higher Crown royalties, partially offset by a higher realized selling price in the 2013 third quarter. On a year-to-date basis, net income decreased to $642 million, or $1.32 per Share, in 2013 from $755 million, or $1.56 per Share, in 2012. Lower sales volumes were largely offset by a higher realized selling price in 2013; however, the Corporation realized a $42 million foreign exchange loss as a result of revaluing U.S. dollar-denominated debt, cash and accounts receivable in the first nine months of 2013 compared with a $41 million foreign exchange gain in the comparative 2012 period.
The following table shows the components of net income per barrel of SCO:
Sales Net of Crude Oil Purchases and Transportation Expense
The $70 million, or seven per cent, decrease in third quarter 2013 sales, net of crude oil purchases and transportation expense, reflects lower sales volumes partially offset by a higher realized selling price relative to the 2012 third quarter.
On a year-to-date basis, sales, net of crude oil purchases and transportation expense, decreased $17 million, or less than one per cent, relative to the comparative 2012 period as lower sales volumes in 2013 were largely offset by a higher realized selling price.
Both WTI and the SCO differential to WTI reflect supply/demand fundamentals for inland North American light crude oil. Increasing North American production of light crude oil, and refinery modifications that enable processing of heavier crude oils, can push light crude sales, including SCO, to more distant refineries, thereby exposing COS' product to supply/demand factors in different markets and increasing transportation costs. A number of pipelines in both Canada and the United States are at, or near, capacity and any pipeline apportionments can exacerbate this situation by restricting the ability of SCO and other crude oils to reach preferred markets. However, rail shipments of crude to refineries have become another transportation option, alleviating some of the pipeline capacity constraints.
Increases in pipeline and rail capacity in 2013 have resulted in a narrowing of the discount between WTI and world oil prices. However, we expect volatility in the SCO differential to WTI to persist for several years until additional pipeline or other delivery capacity is available to deliver crude oil from Western Canada to Cushing, Oklahoma, the U.S. Gulf Coast, or the Canadian East or West Coasts.
The Corporation purchases crude oil from third parties to fulfill sales commitments with customers when there are shortfalls in Syncrude's production and to facilitate certain transportation arrangements. Sales include the sale of purchased crude oil while the cost of these purchases is included in crude oil purchases and transportation expense. Crude oil purchases were higher in the third quarter and first nine months of 2013, relative to the comparative 2012 periods, reflecting additional purchased volumes to support unanticipated production shortfalls and facilitate certain transportation arrangements combined with higher oil prices in 2013.
Operating Expenses
The following table shows the major components of operating expenses in total dollars and per barrel of SCO:
On a total dollar basis, operating expenses in the third quarter of 2013 decreased slightly, relative to the third quarter of 2012, as lower production costs, due primarily to less mining activity, were partially offset by higher maintenance costs associated with the extended turnarounds, the Aurora North mine train relocations and unplanned outages in extraction units. Year to date, total dollar operating expenses were similar in 2013 and 2012, as lower production costs were offset by higher maintenance costs and higher natural gas prices in 2013.
On a per barrel basis, operating expenses in the third quarter and first nine months of 2013 increased, reflecting lower sales volumes.
The following table shows operating expenses per barrel of bitumen and SCO. Costs are allocated to bitumen production and upgrading on the basis used to determine Crown royalties.
Crown Royalties
Crown royalties increased to $71 million, or $9.20 per barrel, in the third quarter of 2013 from $33 million, or $3.16 per barrel, in the third quarter of 2012, primarily due to refinements in our estimates of bitumen values for both current and prior years, partially offset by increases in deductible capital expenditures in the 2013 third quarter. On a year-to-date basis, Crown royalties decreased to $122 million, or $4.79 per barrel, in 2013 from $145 million, or $5.11 per barrel, in the comparative 2012 period, as higher deductible capital expenditures and lower bitumen volumes in 2013 more than offset the impact of the refinements in our bitumen value estimates.
The higher capital expenditures in 2013 reflect spending on capital projects to replace or relocate Syncrude mine trains and to support tailings management plans.
The Syncrude Royalty Amending Agreement requires that bitumen be valued by a formula that references the value of bitumen based on a Canadian heavy oil reference price adjusted to reflect quality and location differences between Syncrude's bitumen and the Canadian reference price bitumen. In addition, the agreement provides that a minimum bitumen value, or "floor price", may be imposed in circumstances where Canadian heavy oil prices are temporarily suppressed relative to North American heavy oil prices.
Canadian Oil Sands' share of the royalties recognized for the period from January 1, 2009 to September 30, 2013 reflect management's best estimate of the adjustments to reflect the quality and location differences and "floor price". However, the Syncrude owners and the Alberta government are disputing the basis for these adjustments. Under alternate assumptions, Canadian Oil Sands' share of Crown royalties for this period could be as much as $35 million (on an after-tax basis) more than the amounts recognized.
The Syncrude owners and the Alberta government continue to discuss these matters, but if such discussions do not result in an agreed upon solution, either party may seek judicial determination of the matter. The cumulative impact, if any, of such discussions or judicial determination, as applicable, would be recognized and impact both net income and cash flow from operations accordingly.
Development Expenses
Development expenses totalled $41 million and $104 million in the third quarter and first nine months of 2013, respectively, compared with $25 million and $75 million in the comparative 2012 periods. Development expenses consist primarily of expenditures relating to capital programs, which are expensed, such as pre-feasibility engineering, technical and support services, research, evaluation drilling and regulatory and stakeholder consultation expenditures. Development expenses can vary from period to period depending on the number of projects underway and the development stage of the projects.
Depreciation and Depletion Expense
Depreciation and depletion expense increased to $101 million and $326 million in the third quarter and first nine months of 2013, respectively, from $96 million and $284 million in the comparative 2012 periods, reflecting:
Net Finance Expense
Interest costs on long-term debt were higher in the first nine months of 2013 relative to the comparative 2012 period as a result of the U.S. $700 million debt issued on March 29, 2012. Conversely, interest expense on long-term debt was lower in the first nine months of 2013, relative to the comparative 2012 periods, because a higher portion of interest costs were capitalized in 2013, as cumulative capital expenditures on qualifying assets rose.
Foreign Exchange (Gain) Loss
Foreign exchange gains/losses are the result of revaluations of our U.S. dollar-denominated long-term debt, cash, and accounts receivable into Canadian dollars.
The foreign exchange gains in the third quarter of 2013 were the result of a strengthening Canadian dollar to U.S. $0.97 at September 30, 2013 from U.S. $0.95 at June 30, 2013, whereas the foreign exchange losses in the first nine months of 2013 were the result of a weakening Canadian dollar from U.S. $1.01 at December 31, 2012. The foreign exchange gains in 2012 were the result of a strengthening Canadian dollar from U.S. $0.98 at December 31, 2011 and June 30, 2012 to U.S. $1.02 at September 30, 2012.
Tax Expense
Total tax expense decreased in 2013 because earnings before tax were lower than in 2012.
Current taxes increased in 2013 because:
Asset Retirement Obligation
Canadian Oil Sands' asset retirement obligation decreased from $1,102 million at December 31, 2012 to $911 million at September 30, 2013, mainly reflecting a 75 basis point increase in the interest rate used to discount future reclamation and closure expenditures.
Pension and Other Post-Employment Benefit Plans
The Corporation's share of the estimated unfunded portion of Syncrude Canada Ltd.'s ("Syncrude Canada") pension and other post-employment benefit plans (the "accrued benefit liability") decreased to $309 million at September 30, 2013 from $438 million at December 31, 2012, reflecting a 50 basis point increase in the interest rate used to discount the accrued benefit liability and contributions to the plans in excess of the current period expenses.
Summary of Quarterly Results
During the last eight quarters, the following items have had a significant impact on the Corporation's financial results:
These same factors are reasonably likely to impact the Corporation's financial results in the future.
While the supply/demand balance for crude oil affects selling prices, the impact of this relationship has not displayed significant seasonality. Natural gas prices are typically higher in winter months as heating demand rises, but this seasonality is influenced by weather conditions and North American natural gas inventory levels. Technological developments in North American oil and natural gas production have significantly increased production, impacting prices and volatility.
Syncrude production levels may not display seasonal patterns or trends. While maintenance and turnaround activities are typically scheduled to avoid the winter months, the exact timing of unit outages cannot be precisely scheduled and unplanned outages may occur. The costs of major turnarounds are capitalized as property, plant and equipment and depreciated over the period until the next scheduled turnaround. The costs of all other turnarounds and maintenance activities are expensed in the period incurred, which can result in volatility in quarterly operating expenses. Given the relatively fixed nature of operating costs, all turnarounds and maintenance activities impact per barrel operating expenses because sales volumes are lower in the periods when this work is occurring.
Capital Expenditures
Capital expenditures increased to $1,050 million in the first nine months of 2013 from $787 million in the comparative 2012 period, primarily due to spending on the major projects at Syncrude.
Capital expenditures increased to $413 million in the third quarter of 2013 from $354 million in the comparative 2012 quarter due to:
More information on the major projects is provided in the "Outlook" section of this MD&A.
Contractual Obligations and Commitments
Canadian Oil Sands' contractual obligations and commitments are summarized in the 2012 annual MD&A and include future cash payments that the Corporation is required to make under existing contractual arrangements entered into directly or as a 36.74 per cent owner in Syncrude. During the first nine months of 2013, Canadian Oil Sands entered into new contractual obligations totalling approximately $700 million for the transportation of crude oil in support of the Corporation's strategy to secure access to preferred markets and enhance marketing flexibility.
Dividends
On October 30, 2013, the Corporation declared a quarterly dividend of $0.35 per Share for a total dividend of approximately $170 million. The dividend will be paid on November 29, 2013 to shareholders of record on November 22, 2013. During the first nine months of 2013, the Corporation paid dividends to shareholders totalling $509 million, or $1.05 per Share.
Dividend payments are set quarterly by the Board of Directors in the context of current and expected crude oil prices, economic conditions, Syncrude's operating performance, and the Corporation's capacity to finance operating and investing obligations. Dividend levels are established with the intent of absorbing short-term market volatility over several quarters. Dividend levels also recognize our intention to fund the current major projects primarily with cash flow from operations and existing cash balances, while maintaining a strong balance sheet to reduce exposure to potential oil price declines, capital cost increases or major operational upsets.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Net debt, comprised of current and non-current portions of long-term debt less cash and cash equivalents, increased to $709 million at September 30, 2013 from $241 million at December 31, 2012, as existing cash balances were used to fund capital expenditures and dividend payments in excess of cash flow from operations. In addition, a weakening Canadian dollar from December 31, 2012 to September 30, 2013 increased the Canadian dollar equivalent value of Canadian Oil Sands' outstanding long-term debt, all of which is denominated in U.S. dollars. As a result, net debt-to-total net capitalization increased to 13 per cent at September 30, 2013 from five per cent at December 31, 2012.
On August 15, 2013, Canadian Oil Sands repaid U.S. $300 million of Senior Notes upon maturity, resulting in long-term debt-to-total capitalization of 25 per cent at September 30, 2013 compared with 28 per cent at December 31, 2012.
We plan to spend existing cash balances by the end of 2014 to fund our major projects and settle accounts payable for accrued current taxes and Crown royalties. As a result, and based on the assumptions in our 2013 Outlook, our net debt levels are expected to rise to $1 billion to $2 billion by the end of 2014, coincident with reduced capital expenditure risk from the expected substantial completion of our major projects.
Shareholders' equity increased to $4,716 million at September 30, 2013 from $4,515 million at December 31, 2012, as net income exceeded dividends in the first nine months of 2013.
In June 2013, Canadian Oil Sands extended the terms of its credit facilities by one year. The $1,500 million operating credit facility was extended to June 1, 2017 and the $40 million extendible revolving term credit facility was extended to June 30, 2015. No amounts were drawn against these facilities at September 30, 2013 or December 31, 2012.
The Senior Notes indentures and credit facility agreements contain certain covenants that restrict Canadian Oil Sands' ability to sell all or substantially all of its assets or change the nature of its business, and limit long-term debt-to-total capitalization to 55 per cent. Canadian Oil Sands is in compliance with its debt covenants, and with a long-term debt-to-total capitalization of 25 per cent at September 30, 2013, a significant increase in debt or decrease in equity would be required to negatively impact the Corporation's financial flexibility.
Shareholders' Capital and Trading Activity
The Corporation's shares trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol COS. On September 30, 2013, the Corporation had a market capitalization of approximately $9.7 billion with 484.6 million shares outstanding and a closing price of $19.96 per Share. The following table summarizes the trading activity for the third quarter of 2013.
Canadian Oil Sands Limited - Trading Activity
Changes in Accounting Policies
In June 2011, the International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB") amended International Accounting Standard ("IAS") 19, Employee Benefits, addressing the recognition and measurement of defined benefit pension expense and termination benefits and disclosures for all employee benefits. The key amendments are as follows:
Canadian Oil Sands has applied the amendments effective January 1, 2013 in accordance with the applicable transitional provisions with no material impact to the Corporation's financial results. Additional information is provided in Note 3 to the unaudited consolidated financial statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and September 30, 2012.
2013 Outlook
We have increased estimated 2013 sales, net of crude oil purchases and transportation expense, to $3,603 million due to an increase in the forecast realized selling price partially offset by a decrease in estimated production volumes.
The forecast annual realized selling price for 2013 has increased $6 per barrel to $100 per barrel and assumes a U.S. $98 per barrel WTI oil price, no SCO premium/discount to Canadian dollar WTI and a foreign exchange rate of $0.98 U.S./Cdn.
We have adjusted our 2013 Syncrude production range to 97 to 100 million barrels with a single-point estimate of 98 million barrels (268,500 barrels per day). Net to Canadian Oil Sands, the single-point estimate is equivalent to 36.0 million barrels (98,600 barrels per day). The production outlook reflects actual results to date and assumes reliable operations for the remainder of the year, requiring average daily Syncrude production volumes of 313,400 barrels in the fourth quarter.
We estimate 2013 operating expenses of $1,504 million, reflecting actual costs incurred to date and a reduced natural gas price assumption of $3.00 per gigajoule. We have increased our per barrel operating expense estimate to $41.77 per barrel, reflecting the lower production forecast.
Our estimate of 2013 Crown royalties has increased to $194 million due primarily to refinements in our estimates of bitumen values.
Our estimate of 2013 current taxes has decreased to $300 million, reflecting changes in the estimated timing of capital expenditure and other deductions.
Based on these assumptions, estimated 2013 cash flow from operations has increased to $1,331 million, or $2.75 per Share.
We estimate 2013 capital expenditures of $1,292 million, comprised of $842 million of spending on major projects, $346 million in regular maintenance of the business and other projects, and $104 million in capitalized interest.
We plan to spend existing cash balances by the end of 2014 to fund our major projects and settle accounts payable for accrued current taxes and Crown royalties. As a result, and based on the assumptions in our 2013 Outlook, our net debt levels are expected to rise to $1 billion to $2 billion by the end of 2014, coincident with reduced capital expenditure risk from the expected substantial completion of our major projects.
Changes in certain factors and market conditions could potentially impact Canadian Oil Sands' Outlook. The following table provides a sensitivity analysis of the key factors affecting the Corporation's performance.
Outlook Sensitivity Analysis (October 30, 2013)
The 2013 Outlook contains forward-looking information and users are cautioned that the actual amounts may vary from the estimates disclosed. Please refer to the "Forward-Looking Information Advisory" section of this MD&A for the risks and assumptions underlying this forward-looking information.
Major Projects
The following tables provide cost and schedule estimates for Syncrude's major projects. Regular maintenance capital costs for years after 2013 will be provided on an annual basis when we disclose the budgets for those years.
Major Projects - Total Project Cost and Schedule Estimates(1)
Major Projects - Annual Spending Profile(1)
The second of the two mine train relocations at Aurora North was completed earlier this month. The Aurora North Mine Train Relocation project is now complete, ahead of schedule and under budget. The Aurora North Tailings Management project is on schedule for completion in the fourth quarter of 2013. The Mildred Lake Mine Train and Centrifuge Tailings Management projects are tracking to plan.
The major projects tables contain forward-looking information and users of this information are cautioned that the actual yearly and total major project costs and the actual in-service dates for the major projects may vary from the plans disclosed. The major project cost estimates and major project target in-service dates are based on current spending plans. Please refer to the "Forward-Looking Information Advisory" section of this MD&A for the risks and assumptions underlying this forward-looking information. For a list of additional risk factors that could cause the actual amount of the major project costs and the major project target in-service dates to differ materially, please refer to the Corporation's Annual Information Form dated February 21, 2013 which is available on the Corporation's profile on SEDAR at and on the Corporation's website at .
Consolidated Statements of Income and Comprehensive Income
(unaudited)
Consolidated Statements of Shareholders' Equity
(unaudited)
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(unaudited)
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(unaudited)
Notes to Unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements
For the Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2013
(Tabular amounts expressed in millions of Canadian dollars, except where otherwise noted)
1) Nature of Operations
Canadian Oil Sands Limited ("Canadian Oil Sands" or the "Corporation") was incorporated in 2010 under the laws of the Province of Alberta, Canada pursuant to a plan of arrangement effecting the reorganization from an income trust into a corporate structure effective December 31, 2010.
The Corporation indirectly owns a 36.74 per cent interest ("Working Interest") in the Syncrude Joint Venture ("Syncrude"). Syncrude is involved in the mining and upgrading of bitumen from oil sands near Fort McMurray in northern Alberta. The Syncrude Project is comprised of open-pit oil sands mines, utilities plants, bitumen extraction plants, and an upgrading complex that processes bitumen into Synthetic Crude Oil ("SCO"). Syncrude is a joint operation jointly controlled by seven owners. Decisions about Syncrude's relevant activities require unanimous consent of the owners. Each owner takes its proportionate share of production in kind, and funds its proportionate share of Syncrude's operating development and capital costs on a daily basis. The Corporation also owns 36.74 per cent of the issued and outstanding shares of Syncrude Canada Ltd. ("Syncrude Canada"). Syncrude Canada operates Syncrude on behalf of the owners and is responsible for selecting, compensating, directing and controlling Syncrude's employees, and for administering all related employment benefits and obligations. The Corporation's investment in Syncrude and Syncrude Canada represents its only producing asset.
The Corporation's office is located at the following address: 2000 First Canadian Centre, 350 - 7th Avenue S.W., Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2P 3N9.
2) Basis of Presentation
These unaudited interim consolidated financial statements are prepared and reported in Canadian dollars in accordance with Canadian generally accepted accounting principles as set out in the Handbook of the Canadian Institute of Chartered Accountants ("CICA Handbook"). The CICA Handbook incorporates International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and publicly accountable enterprises, such as the Corporation, are required to apply such standards. These unaudited interim financial statements have been prepared in accordance with IFRS applicable to the preparation of interim financial statements and International Accounting Standard ("IAS") 34, Interim Financial Reporting, and the accounting policies applied in these interim unaudited consolidated financial statements are based on IFRS as issued, outstanding and effective on September 30, 2013.
Certain disclosures that are normally required to be included in the notes to the annual audited consolidated financial statements have been condensed or omitted. These unaudited interim consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction with the Corporation's audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto for the year ended December 31, 2012.
3) Accounting Policies
The same accounting policies and methods of computation are followed in these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements as compared with the most recent audited annual consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2012 except as follows:
Taxes
Current taxes in interim periods are accrued based on our best estimate of the annual effective tax rate applied to year-to-date earnings. Current taxes accrued in one interim period may be adjusted prospectively in a subsequent interim period if the estimate of the annual effective tax rate changes.
Employee Future Benefits
In June 2011, the International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB") amended International Accounting Standard ("IAS") 19, Employee Benefits, addressing the recognition and measurement of defined benefit pension expense and termination benefits and disclosures for all employee benefits. The key amendments are as follows:
Canadian Oil Sands has applied the amendments effective January 1, 2013 in accordance with the applicable transitional provisions. Certain amounts reported in the Corporation's Consolidated Statements of Income and Comprehensive Income have been adjusted as follows:
Consolidation
In May 2011, the IASB issued IFRS 10, Consolidated Financial Statements; IFRS 11, Joint Arrangements, to replace International Accounting Standard ("IAS") 31, Interests in Joint Ventures; IFRS 12, Disclosure of Interests in Other Entities; and amendments to IAS 27, Separate Financial Statements and IAS 28 Investments in Associates and Joint Ventures.
Canadian Oil Sands has applied these new standards effective January 1, 2013 in accordance with the transitional provisions. IFRS 10, which establishes principles for the presentation and preparation of consolidated financial statements, has not impacted Canadian Oil Sands' financial statements or disclosures. IFRS 11 eliminates the accounting policy choice between proportionate consolidation and equity method accounting for joint ventures available under IAS 31 and, instead, mandates one of these two methodologies based on the economic substance of the joint arrangement. Canadian Oil Sands has determined that its investments in Syncrude and Syncrude Canada are considered joint operations under the new standard and continues to recognize its proportionate share of the assets, liabilities, revenues, expenses, and commitments of both. IFRS 12 requires entities to disclose information about the nature of their interests in joint ventures, which has resulted in additional disclosures in Note 1, Nature of Operations.
Fair Value Measurement
In May 2011, the IASB issued IFRS 13, Fair Value Measurements, which establishes a single source of guidance for fair value measurements and related disclosures. Canadian Oil Sands has applied this new standard effective January 1, 2013 in accordance with the transitional provisions, resulting in new fair value disclosures in Note 13, Financial Instruments.
Financial Instruments: Disclosures
In December 2011, the IASB issued amendments to IFRS 7, Financial Instruments: Disclosures, requiring entities to disclose information about the effect, or potential effect, of netting arrangements on an entity's financial position. Canadian Oil Sands has applied these amendments effective January 1, 2013 in accordance with their transitional provisions, resulting in additional disclosures in Note 13, Financial Instruments.
Production Stripping Costs
In October 2011, the IASB issued International Financial Reporting Interpretations Committee ("IFRIC") Interpretation 20, Stripping Costs in the Production Phase of a Surface Mine, which clarifies the accounting for costs associated with waste removal in surface mining during the production phase of a mine. Canadian Oil Sands has applied this new interpretation effective January 1, 2013 in accordance with the transitional provisions and there has been no impact on Canadian Oil Sands' financial statements or disclosures.
4) Property, Plant and Equipment, Net
For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013, interest costs of $29 million and $80 million, respectively, were capitalized and included in property, plant and equipment (three and nine months ended September 30, 2012 - $25 million and $65 million, respectively) based on a 6.5 per cent interest capitalization rate for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 (6.5 per cent and 6.7 per cent, respectively, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2012).
5) Accounts Payable and Accrued Liabilities
6) Other Liabilities
7) Asset Retirement Obligation
The Corporation and each of the other Syncrude owners are liable for their share of ongoing obligations related to the reclamation and closure of the Syncrude properties on abandonment. The Corporation estimates reclamation and closure expenditures will be made progressively over the next 70 years and has applied a risk-free interest rate of 3.0 per cent at September 30, 2013 (December 31, 2012 - 2.25 per cent) in deriving the asset retirement obligation. The risk-free rate is based on the yield for benchmark Government of Canada long-term bonds.
The $170 million decrease in the asset retirement obligation in 2013, due to the increase in the risk-free rate, was recorded as a decrease in property, plant and equipment. The $45 million current portion of the asset retirement obligation is included in accounts payable and accrued liabilities, while the $866 million non-current portion is presented separately as a liability on the September 30, 2013 Consolidated Balance Sheet. The total undiscounted estimated cash flows required to settle Canadian Oil Sands' share of the asset retirement obligation were $2,064 million at September 30, 2013 (December 31, 2012 - $2,104 million).
8) Employee Future Benefits
The Corporation's share of Syncrude Canada's defined benefit and contribution plans' costs for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 is based on its 36.74 per cent working interest. The costs have been recorded in operating expenses, net finance expense and other comprehensive loss as follows:
9) Foreign Exchange
10) Net Finance Expense
11) Tax Expense
12) Capital Management
The Corporation's capital consists of cash and cash equivalents, debt and Shareholders' equity. The balance of each of these items at September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 was as follows:
Net debt, comprised of current and non-current portions of long-term debt less cash and cash equivalents, increased to $709 million at September 30, 2013 from $241 million at December 31, 2012, as existing cash balances were used to fund capital expenditures and dividend payments in excess of cash flow from operations. In addition, a weakening Canadian dollar from December 31, 2012 to September 30, 2013 increased the Canadian equivalent value of Canadian Oil Sands' outstanding long-term debt, all of which is denominated in U.S. dollars. As a result, net debt-to-total net capitalization increased to 13 per cent at September 30, 2013 from five per cent at December 31, 2012.
On August 15, 2013, Canadian Oil Sands repaid U.S. $300 million of Senior Notes upon maturity. As result, long-term debt-to-total capitalization fell to 25 per cent at September 30, 2013 from 28 per cent at December 31, 2012.
Shareholders' equity increased to $4,716 million at September 30, 2013 from $4,515 million at December 31, 2012, as net income exceeded dividends in the first nine months of 2013.
The Corporation's senior notes indentures and credit facility agreements contain certain covenants which restrict Canadian Oil Sands' ability to sell all or substantially all of its assets or change the nature of its business, and limit long-term debt-to-total capitalization to 55 per cent. Canadian Oil Sands is in compliance with its debt covenants, and with a long-term debt-to-total capitalization of 25 per cent at September 30, 2013, a significant increase in debt or decrease in equity would be required to negatively impact the Corporation's financial flexibility.
13) Financial Instruments
The Corporation's financial instruments include cash and cash equivalents, accounts receivable, investments held in a reclamation trust, accounts payable and accrued liabilities, and current and non-current portions of long-term debt. The nature, the Corporation's use of, and the risks associated with these instruments are unchanged from December 31, 2012.
Offsetting Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities
The carrying values of accounts receivable and accounts payable and accrued liabilities have each been reduced by $73 million ($25 million at December 31, 2012) as a result of netting agreements with counterparties.
Fair Values
The fair values of cash and cash equivalents, accounts receivable, reclamation trust investments and accounts payable and accrued liabilities approximate their carrying values due to the short-term nature of those instruments. The fair value of long-term debt, based on third-party market indications, is as follows:
14) Commitments
Canadian Oil Sands' commitments are summarized in the 2012 annual consolidated financial statements and include future cash payments that the Corporation is required to make under existing contractual arrangements entered into directly or as a 36.74 per cent owner in Syncrude. During the first nine months of 2013, Canadian Oil Sands entered into new contractual obligations totalling approximately $700 million for the transportation of crude oil in support of the Corporation's strategy to secure access to preferred markets and enhance marketing flexibility.
15) Contingencies
Crown royalties include Canadian Oil Sands' share of amounts due under the Syncrude Royalty Amending Agreement with the Alberta government. The Syncrude Royalty Amending Agreement requires that bitumen be valued by a formula that references the value of bitumen based on a Canadian heavy oil reference price adjusted to reflect quality and location differences between Syncrude's bitumen and the Canadian reference price bitumen. In addition, the agreement provides that a minimum bitumen value, or "floor price", may be imposed in circumstances where Canadian heavy oil prices are temporarily suppressed relative to North American heavy oil prices.
Canadian Oil Sands' share of the royalties recognized for the period from January 1, 2009 to September 30, 2013 reflect management's best estimate of the adjustments to reflect the quality and location differences and "floor price". However, the Syncrude owners and the Alberta government are disputing the basis for these adjustments. Under alternate assumptions, Canadian Oil Sands' share of Crown royalties for this period could be as much as $35 million (on an after-tax basis) more than the amounts recognized.
The Syncrude owners and the Alberta government continue to discuss these matters, but if such discussions do not result in an agreed upon solution, either party may seek judicial determination of the matter. The cumulative impact, if any, of such discussions or judicial determination, as applicable, would be recognized and impact both net income and cash flow from operations accordingly.
16) Supplementary Information
a) Change in Non-Cash Working Capital
b) Income Taxes and Interest Paid
Income taxes paid and the portion of interest costs that is expensed are included within cash from operating activities on the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows. The portion of interest costs that is capitalized as property, plant and equipment is included within cash used in investing activities on the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows.
c) Cash Flow from Operations per Share
Cash flow from operations per Share is calculated as cash flow from operations, which is cash from operating activities before changes in non-cash working capital, divided by the weighted-average number of outstanding Shares in the period.
17) Prior Period Comparative Amounts
During the fourth quarter of 2012, the Corporation completed a review of the presentation of crude oil purchase and sale transactions and it was determined that certain transactions previously reported on a gross basis (sales are presented gross of crude oil purchases and transportation expense) are more appropriately reflected on a net basis (crude oil purchases and transportation expense are netted against sales). Prior period comparative amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current period presentation. The impact is as follows:
Canadian Oil Sands Limited
Marcel Coutu, President & Chief Executive Officer
Shares Listed - Symbol: COS Toronto Stock Exchange
Contacts:
Canadian Oil Sands Limited
Siren Fisekci
Vice President, Investor & Corporate Relations
(403) 218-6228
Canadian Oil Sands Limited
2000 First Canadian Centre
350 - 7 Avenue S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 3N9
(403) 218-6200
(403) 218-6201 (FAX)
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Datum: 30.10.2013 - 21:26 Uhr
Sprache: Deutsch
News-ID 311125
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Town:
CALGARY, ALBERTA
Kategorie:
Oil & Gas
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